Friday, December 6, 2013

USDJPY Daily outlook for 6th December 2013

USDJPY Daily outlook for 5th December 2013


Daily Chart - Clear bearish candle breaking the steep trendline



  • Clear bearish candle breaking the steep trendline
  • Next target for short will be 38.2 retrace


Hourly Chart



  • Made lower lows so previous support is now resistance, and also a daily pivot and 38.2% retrace.

Outlook Trade Opportunity

Will look for opportunity to short if market test the 102-101.90 confluence levels of Daily pivot, previous support now resistance , 38.2% retrace, trendline. with initial Target of yesterday's low

AUDJPY Daily outlook for 6th December, 2013

AUDJPY  Daily outlook for 6th December, 2013 


Daily Chart - Bearish

  • Still in a down trend
  • There is a divergence on stochastics


Hourly Chart -




  • At the time of writing, it is struggling to go back above the 92.250
  • Looks like its forming a Bearish Pennant? for continuation to the downside?
  • or Looks like a Falling Wedge? for reversal? - bias towards this one as there is divergence in daily charts






Outlook Trade opportunity–
At this level trading is high risk because the current level is messy, and we are trapped in a pennat / wedge . However my bias is towards the upside due to the fact there is daily divergence,
So to trade this, i will be happy to take longs from the bottom of the wedge / 61.8% retrace from yesterday low to end of day highs., and target towards daily pivot.

Risk - HIGH



AUDUSD Daily outlook for 6th December, 2013

AUDUSD  Daily outlook for 6th December, 2013 

Daily Chart  - Still looks very bearish







  • We recovered around 50% of the drop from the previous day
  • At the time of writing, its one hour before the daily candle closes (NY time) - it is trying to close back above 0.90600
  • Should take note of the Divergence happening on stochastics








Hourly Chart



  • Yesterday It retested the lows at 0.90 and bounced back and if looking at a 4hr chart it shows a ‘bullish engulfing candle’ which brings is back up from previous resistance which now support (clinging on)
  • Holding desperately at 0.9060 level
  • If looking at daily pivot level, it is showing good signs it can hold at late hours of the day



Outlook Trade opportunity–
At this level trading is high risk because the current level is messy.  If 0.9060 holds with good conviction, will go long up to 0.90870 (61.8% retrace).  
- Going against the trend, however few indicators confirming
- Divergence in daily
- zoom into 4hr chart we can see a bullish engulfing candle, followed by a doji
*Please take note the 50% / 0.9070 retrace level is another barrier to pass.
*IN the Hourly chart, we are in the ichikumo clouds so risk is higher, however to trade today, will zoom into 15min / 30min
Risk Level – High

Result of my analysis for 05.12.13 (Thursday)

Result of my analysis for 05.12.13 (Thursday)

AUDUSD, AUDUSD, USDJPY


Happy to say that all of my analysis is correct and for those who did follow my trade recommendation would be able to profit the following:

AUDJPY - 40pips
USDJPY - 50pips
AUDUSD - 40pips *i was expected the market to retest the 9060 area, but instead it didn't go up there but close enough , where it went up to the daily pivot with strong rejection.  

In Total, potential of up to 130pips.

Happy Trading!