Monday, February 17, 2014

AUDUSD - Trade Setup & Forecast for the week 17th Feb, 2014

AUDUSD - Trade Setup & Forecast for the week 17th Feb, 2014

The Aussie did fill my short setup and got our 1:1, however it had recovered all of the drop, so where is it heading? 


Daily Chart

  • Trading into the clouds
  • Next major resistance is the fib level 38.2
  • Stochastic Negative divergence


Hourly Chart


  • 4hr ichikumo clouds is bullish (daily is bearish and trading in the clouds)
  • MACD negative divergence
  • The next move for the aussie is important, - as currently we have a minor support at 0.90030, if this holds, we will see further upside, and if it fails, then our bearish targets should be met.



Outlook Trade opportunity

We are still in our short trade (however i took partial profit when hit 1:1 last week)
NO further setups identified

Risk Level __


Tips -

Always take note of any economical news event on our provided calender below



GBPJPY Trade Setup & Forecast for the week 17th Feb, 2014

GBPJPY Trade Setup & Forecast for the week 17th Feb, 2014


Weekly Chart


After the pin bar 2 wks ago, bullish momentum respected the price action from the support and stochastic respecting this idea. MACD however is not in the same wave length , and is crossing into bearish

Daily Chart

  • Trading into bottom of the ascending trend line which we broke - which could become resistance
  • Trading into the 61.8 retrace and if we look at the ichimuko clouds, we are trading in the clouds but heading to the top of the clouds (resis)
  • Stochastic is overbought
Heading into resistance , would look at opportunity to short

Hourly Chart


  • Currently price is seeing some reaction from the 61.8 level however because this level is too close to the support, i am not comfortable opening short trades unless a quick scalp
  • I have two short trades (blue and black), - blue is also a supply and demand trade

Outlook Trade opportunity

I would be looking at price action at both of these levels before placing counter trades. This is because price action wise it is still in a very bullish momentum.
If however prices goes to my sell area, macd and stochastic should be diverging which gives it more reason to short it (for a small profit 1:1 or 1:2)

Risk Level Medium And High


Tips -

Always take note of any economical news event on our provided calender below



EURUSD (Cypher Harmonic Pattern coming?) Trade Setup & Forecast for the week 17th Feb, 2014

EURUSD Trade Setup & Forecast for the week 17th Feb, 2014

(Cypher Harmonic Pattern coming?)

Weekly Chart


Daily Chart


Hourly Chart


Last week my trade setup for short worked very well, For those who followed it had a capacity for around 100pips. However i did not expect the bullish momentum to be so strong for the euro.
Anyways, working what the chart tells us, here is my next trade setup. With the bullish momentum and price breaking through resistance, i won't be suprised for price to hit my sell zone.

This zone has confluence levels of 78.6 fib, 161.8 fib ext, 127.2 & 200inverse fib ext, as well as weekly R2 pivot, they are all within few pips of each other, and three overlapping as well. - You couldn't get much better confluence so this looks exciting. Then when i took a view of the chart zoomed out, what i saw is a cypher pattern setting up - therefore i've drawn in the triangle for harmonic pattern traders to see.

Outlook Trade opportunity

Look at the H4 chart

Risk Level - LOW


Tips -

Always take note of any economical news event on our provided calender below



USDJPY Trade Setup & Forecast for the week 17th Feb, 2014

USDJPY Trade Setup & Forecast for the week 17th Feb, 2014


Weekly Chart



Daily Chart


Hourly Chart


There is a few uncertainty with this pair, I have a Buy setup on the hourly chart, however traders need to becareful, as if it gets to that price, on the daily, price will break the clouds signalling a bearish trend, however it could be a false break. Having said that, the multiple exact confluence of fib levels is quite strong to give it a push.

Outlook Trade opportunity

Please see Hourly Chart

Risk Level Medium


Tips -

Always take note of any economical news event on our provided calender below



US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) - (Trading into Support?) Forecast for the week 17th Feb, 2014

US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) - Forecast for the week 17th Feb, 2014

(Trading into Support?)

*chart says 'resistance' typo - should be 'support'


The US Dollar Index is trading into important support area, with confluence of fib levels and pivots as well.  (79.70 is the level to watch). If it gets down there, trading US dollar crosses for scalp trades should setup very well for scalpers.